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Every december, we publish our realistic surprise predictions for the year ahead. We believe these predictions have at least a 1-in-3 probability of materializing †making them realistic, while not … We use the yield curve to predict future gdp growth and recession probabilities.
Predications are calculated … The global economy has shown resilience, but the outlook remains clouded by trade tensions, fiscal strains and persistent uncertainty. Growth is expected to slow to 2. 7% in 2026, below 2025 levels …
